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Post by Admin on Mar 3, 2020 18:16:17 GMT
Voters in 14 states and one U.S. territory head to the polls Tuesday to select who they want to become the 2020 Democratic nominee for president. There are a total of 1,357 delegates up for grabs across those states in the contests that have become known as Super Tuesday. Watch the PBS NewsHour’s live coverage and analysis of the election results beginning at 6 p.m. ET.
There's no question that Sanders will have the delegate lead come Wednesday morning -- or, given how long it takes California to count votes, Wednesday night. (Scroll down for more on that.) It's also uniquely possible that Biden, Bloomberg and Warren all get to 15% in enough states voting on Tuesday that they effectively split up the non-Bernie delegates. How? Warren's strength in California, Biden's presumed advantage among black voters across the southern states and Bloomberg's $500+ million TV ad assault on every single Super Tuesday state.
What such a scenario would mean would be a total muddle. Each of that trio of candidates would likely have enough good news out of Super Tuesday -- and their delegate standing -- to justify staying in the race through, at least, the end of this month. And the longer it takes for the field to thin to Sanders and the Sanders alternative, the better for the Vermont senator.
That fight is between Biden, Warren (due to her strength in California, largely) and Bloomberg, and the former vice president would appear to have a leg up at the moment as he comes into Tuesday with momentum from his larger-than-expected win in South Carolina over the weekend and a slew of endorsements -- including from Klobuchar and Buttigieg -- announced on Monday.
For Biden to slot in behind only Sanders in delegates, he need a few things to happen: a) get over 15% in California b) win or come close in Texas and c) run up the margins in southern states -- Virginia, Tennessee, Alabama -- where the Democratic electorate will have a major African American tilt.
Sanders sweeps to a significant (200+) delegate lead: Sanders should do quite well in New England (Maine, Massachusetts, Vermont) as well as in Minnesota and Colorado. But it's California where Sanders' day will be made (or not). There's virtually no question that Sanders will win the state but the key is whether or not Biden, Warren or Bloomberg can get to 15% or more.
If no one other than Sanders gets to 15% statewide, he will get almost 60% of all of the delegates, according to calculations made by the Cook Political Report's David Wasserman. If, on the other hand, two non-Sanders candidates got 15.1% of the vote each, Sanders would win just 38% of California's delegates. So, BIG difference.
Still, Sanders is stronger in more states than any other candidate left in the field -- thanks the absolute commitment of his core supporters as well as his strengths -- as Ron Brownstein notes -- among non-college educated whites and Hispanic voters. He should have a good night no matter what.
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Post by Admin on Mar 3, 2020 22:57:32 GMT
The delegate count going into Super Tuesday shows Sanders with 60 delegates, Biden with 54 delegates and Warren with 8 delegates. Pete Buttigieg had 26 delegates before dropping out Sunday, and Amy Klobuchar, who dropped out Monday, had 7. Beating Trump is top concern for voters According to early exit polls, voters across Super Tuesday states say they prefer a nominee who can beat President Trump to one they agree with on major issues. Overall, 59% said they wanted a nominee who can beat Mr. Trump in November, compared with 36% who said they prefer someone who agrees with them on issues.  Health care is the most important issue for Democratic voters today, far ahead of climate change, income inequality, and race relations. The exit poll results show voters are split on whether to replace all private health insurance with a single government plan for all, with just over half supporting this in seven of the Super Tuesday states. Among those who voted today in Virginia, North Carolina, and Tennessee, roughly half said the coronavirus outbreak was an important factor in their vote. Many voters said they made their decision about whom to vote for within the last few days. |
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Post by Admin on Mar 4, 2020 3:12:28 GMT
Super Tuesday results 2020: Democratic primary test for Biden, Sanders, Warren and Bloomberg Alabama · 31% reporting Joe Biden won · 52 delegates available Arkansas · 22% reporting Joe Biden won · 31 delegates available California Results expected around 13:00 GMT+9 Voters picked the Vermont senator in Colorado’s first primary after switching from a caucus system used in previous election cycles. Colorado · 30% reporting Bernie Sanders won · 66 delegates available  Maine · 42% reporting 24 delegates available  Massachusetts · 37% reporting Joe Biden leads · 91 delegates available  Minnesota · 27% reporting Joe Biden won · 75 delegates available North Carolina · 63% reporting Joe Biden won · 110 delegates available  Oklahoma · 88% reporting Joe Biden won · 37 delegates available Tennessee · 78% reporting Joe Biden won · 64 delegates available Texas · 10% reporting 228 delegates available Utah · 29% reporting Bernie Sanders leads · 29 delegates available Vermont · 79% reporting Bernie Sanders won · 16 delegates available Virginia · 100% reporting Joe Biden won · 99 delegates available |
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Post by Admin on Mar 4, 2020 4:38:58 GMT
2020 Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden speaks to a crowd in California on Super Tuesday.
Sen. Bernie Sanders addresses his core plans if elected as the next U.S. president.
Polls are now closed in all the Super Tuesday states. CBS News projects Joe Biden picked up wins in Massachusetts, Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Minnesota and Oklahoma. CBS News projects Bernie Sanders will win Colorado, Utah and his home state of Vermont.
Polls have also closed in Maine, Texas and California. California, the night's biggest prize with 415 delegates, is leaning toward Sanders.
Texas, the second-biggest state to vote with 228 delegates, is a toss-up between Biden and Sanders. CBS News estimates Maine is also a toss-up between Biden and Sanders.
Biden's win in Massachusetts is a blow to Elizabeth Warren, who is from the state.
Mike Bloomberg and Tulsi Gabbard picked up their first delegate wins in the American Samoa caucuses. Bloomberg was awarded four delegates while Gabbard was awarded one.
More than 1,300 delegates are at stake tonight — over 30% of all the pledged delegates available — making it one of the most important days of the primary season. Only 155 delegates are awarded in the first four voting contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina.
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Post by Admin on Mar 4, 2020 21:38:44 GMT
Former Vice President Joe Biden may have won the most states on Super Tuesday, but Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders captured the one with the most delegates: California. There are 415 delegates at stake in California, the largest haul of any state. With 79% of the state's precincts reporting, Sanders had 33.5% of the vote to Biden's 24.8%.  Sanders was always expected to do well in California, with its large population of Latino voters and energized progressives. On Tuesday, he lived up to those expectations. Sanders carried 49% of the Latino vote, the state's largest minority group, and 49% of voters who call themselves very liberal, according to exit polls. Sanders was helped by some $7 million in ad spending in California, compared to about $350,000 by Biden through Sunday. With his victory, Sanders was perhaps able to erase memories of his seven point loss to Hillary Clinton in California in 2016. It is expected to be days before the final delegate allocation is known, because counting in California is complicated. Mail-in ballots will count as long as they were postmarked by Tuesday, and same day registration means there a large number of provisional ballots. Of the delegates assigned so far, Sanders has 72 and Biden 21. Some four million votes were cast before Tuesday, and as they are counted it's possible Biden will see his percentage increase, as exit polls showed late-deciding voters trending his way. Officials have until April 2 to complete their tally. |
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