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Post by Admin on Oct 30, 2020 19:35:31 GMT
President Donald Trump said Friday that he would likely relocate his campaign’s election night party to the White House or another venue if coronavirus restrictions in Washington, D.C., prevent him from holding the event at his Pennsylvania Avenue hotel.
“We haven’t made a determination. We have certain rules and regulations. You know, Washington, D.C., is shut down. The mayor shut it down,” Trump told reporters outside the White House.
“So we have a hotel. I don’t know if it’s shut down, if you’re allowed to use it or not,” he continued. “But I know the mayor has shut down Washington, D.C. And if that’s the case, we’ll probably stay here or pick another location. I think it’s crazy. Washington, D.C., is shut down. Can you imagine?”
The remarks from the president came after The New York Times reported Friday that he had reneged on plans to visit the Trump International Hotel Washington on election night and would likely spend the evening at the White House.
Gatherings of more than 50 people in Washington are prohibited by the city’s coronavirus directives. Throughout this year, Trump has routinely feuded with Washington Mayor Muriel Bowser, a Democrat, on issues related to the pandemic and nationwide anti-racism protests.
Eric Trump, one of the president’s sons, also confirmed Friday that the campaign was considering moving the election night party from the luxury Washington hotel, which occupies the 120-year-old Romanesque structure formerly known as the Old Post Office Building.
“No, we’re thinking about moving it, actually, over to the White House for — we’re looking at that right now, and it’s going to be a great night. It’s going to be a really, really beautiful night,” he said in an interview on “Fox & Friends.”
The potential change of venue by the president could provoke criticism of his continued use of the executive mansion for political purposes. Trump delivered his nomination acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention in August from the White House lawn, a move for which he was widely criticized.
In recent months, as the coronavirus has spread across the country, Trump has also conducted campaign-style events on the White House premises, launching attacks against Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden from the seat of power of the federal government’s executive branch.
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Post by Admin on Nov 2, 2020 2:11:49 GMT
President Donald Trump is trying to stop former Vice President Joe Biden's pathway to 270 electoral votes. The polls released over the weekend suggest that this will be a difficult, but not an impossible task.
Trump's best path to stop Biden is for there to be a larger than average polling error in Arizona and especially Pennsylvania.
The electoral math is pretty simple. Biden needs to find 38 electoral votes on top of the 232 in the contests that Hillary Clinton won in 2016. He's likely to win the one from Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. Remember, the state of Nebraska allocates an electoral vote to the winner of each of its congressional districts.
On top of that, Biden holds clear and significant leads in two states Trump won by less than a point in 2016: Michigan and Wisconsin. A CNN/SSRS poll on Saturday put Biden up 12 points in Michigan among likely voters, while Biden led in Wisconsin by 8 points in a CNN/SSRS poll and 11 points in a New York Times/Siena College poll released Sunday.
This means Biden needs to get 11 more electoral votes. Other polls released on Saturday and Sunday from individual states worth at least 11 electoral votes suggest he will have options to choose from.
The hardest lift is probably in Florida. A New York Times/Siena College poll has Biden and Trump separated by 3 points, while an ABC News/Washington Post poll has the race within 2 points. Although the nominal leader in both was different, the polls combined indicate what has become clear for weeks. Florida and its 29 electoral votes are too close to call with perhaps a slight edge to Biden.
Biden could also get to 270 electoral votes with North Carolina and its 15 electoral votes. A CNN/SSRS poll had Biden up by 6 points there yesterday, while the polling average puts the race closer to a 3 point edge. This is a race that Biden is favored to win, though one where an average sized polling error (about 3 points in competitive presidential races dating back to 1972) would be enough for Trump to emerge victorious.
He would need to win in Arizona and Pennsylvania. Is that possible? Yes. Will it be easy? No.
Let's start with Arizona. Biden had a 6 point advantage in a New York Times/Siena College poll put out on Sunday. CNN/SSRS had Biden at 50% and Trump at 46% on Saturday. The average poll overall has Biden up by 4 points. So Trump needs a larger than average polling error in a state where there hasn't been a tradition of polling errors favoring Republicans.
If Trump is able to overcome that, he'll still need to go into Pennsylvania and win there. (There's a reason Trump has been barnstorming the state.)
Three polls out this weekend show similar results in the Keystone State. Biden was up 5 points in a Muhlenberg College poll (well within the poll's 5.5 point margin of error), 6 points in a New York Times/Siena College poll and 7 points in an ABC News/Washington Post poll.
Overcoming an average 6 point polling deficit is possible. It's quite hard though. It's basically a little less than the chance of flipping a coin in the air three times and having it land on heads all three times.
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Post by Admin on Nov 2, 2020 19:27:23 GMT
The fact is, the election is now just two days away. And because of that, our show tonight is going to be a little bit different,” John Oliver announced at the top of Sunday’s Last Week Tonight.  The HBO host broke down his show into two main stories involving the chaotic and deadly Trump administration: the coronavirus and Attorney General William Barr. Oliver began with the coronavirus, a disease that has claimed over 230,000 American lives thus far with little to no sign of slowing down. While President Donald Trump has claimed time and again that he’s done a “tremendous” job handling the ongoing pandemic, the facts tell a far different story. “In the years before this outbreak, Trump’s administration not only disbanded Obama’s pandemic team, they also cut CDC operating within China by more than two-thirds and ended a pandemic early-warning program,” said Oliver, citing Trump’s astonishing lack of preparedness. “And even once the pandemic had begun, Trump took an appallingly long time to take it seriously.” |
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Post by Admin on Nov 2, 2020 20:51:27 GMT
Democrat Joe Biden holds a narrow lead over President Donald Trump in the all-important battleground state of Pennsylvania, while the two candidates are tied in Arizona, according to the final NBC News/Marist state polls of the 2020 presidential election. In Pennsylvania, which Trump won four years ago, Biden is ahead by 5 points among likely voters, 51 percent to 46 percent, although that advantage is within that poll’s margin of error; a combined 3 percent say they’re undecided or are voting for someone else. That’s down from Biden’s 9-point lead in the state in September’s NBC/Marist poll of the state. Biden with slight edge in Pennsylvania, race tied in Arizona Both races are within the polls’ margin of error. Arizona Biden: 48% Trump: 48% Pennsylvania Biden: 51% Trump: 46% Source: The NBC News / Marist poll conducted Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2020. Margin of error for 772 likely voters in Pennsylvania is +/- 4.4%. Margin of error for 717 likely voters in Arizona is +/- 4.5%.  Biden’s current 5-point edge in Pennsylvania is consistent with other recent high-quality public polls of the state, which show the former Democratic vice president ahead in the mid-single digits. In Arizona, which Trump won by more than 3 points in 2016, the candidates are tied at 48 percent each among likely voters, with a combined 4 percent undecided or voting for someone else. |
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Post by Admin on Nov 3, 2020 19:18:19 GMT
WATCH LIVE: Election results - PBS NewsHour special coverage
Scheduled for Nov 4, 2020
After an unprecedented election season, the race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden will come to an end on election night. As tallying of ballots kicks off, the PBS NewsHour will be live throughout election night Nov. 3 with results and analysis.
The digital preshow begins at 4 p.m. ET. William Brangham will talk with Beverly Gage, professor of history at Yale University, about history surrounding U.S. elections and what we should keep in mind for 2020; Brown University School of Public Health Dean Dr. Ashish Jha about the pandemic and how it plays into this year’s vote; and Steve Vladeck, law professor at The University of Texas, about what legal challenges might arise as election night wears on.
The NewsHour’s special programing begins at 6 p.m. ET, with special coverage beginning at 7 p.m. ET. Because of the record number of mail-in and early ballots, results may take longer to tally than in years past.
PBS NewsHour anchor and managing editor Judy Woodruff will be joined in the studio by senior correspondents Lisa Desjardins and Amna Nawaz, and Amy Walter of the Cook Political Report. Throughout the night, they will be checking in with correspondents, reporters, experts and political analysts stationed around the country, including in the presidential battleground states of Pennsylvania, Arizona, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Georgia.
In addition to reporting on results, special election night coverage will take a closer look at the states and races to watch -- those that will likely determine control of the White House and the Senate -- as well as the unique factors at play in this election, from the pandemic to the Black Lives Matter protests to the concerns about voter access.
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