Sen. Elizabeth Warren now holds a slight lead in national polls of the 2020 Democratic primary, according to the polling aggregation site RealClearPolitics — the first time that she, not former Vice President Joe Biden, has led the race.
Warren’s new lead in national polls comes on the back of a Quinnipiac poll, released on Tuesday, which shows her leading the Democratic field: 29 percent of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters said they would vote for her if the primary were held today. Former Vice President Joe Biden, now in second place, received 26 percent of the vote in the same poll. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), typically considered the other frontrunner in the race, had 16 percent.
The poll’s questions about the Democratic primary had a margin of error of 4.7 percentage points, so Biden and Warren are in a very close race. Notably, Warren also appears to be the only candidate with a steady upward trend in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) leads former Vice President Joe Biden in Iowa and New Hampshire, but South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg has surged into contention in the Hawkeye State, according to a new poll.
The latest Firehouse Strategies-Optimus survey finds Warren with a narrow lead in Iowa at 25 percent support, followed by Biden at 22 percent and Buttigieg at 17 percent. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who has been recovering from a heart attack, is in fourth place at 5 percent in Iowa.
Buttigieg is the biggest mover in the Iowa poll, gaining about 9 points.
Warren’s lead is larger in New Hampshire, where she registers 25 percent support, followed by Biden at 18 percent and Sanders at 9 percent.
Still, Biden leads big in South Carolina, where black voters make up more than half of the Democratic primary electorate. Biden comes in at 32 percent, compared to 16 percent for Warren and 8 percent for Sanders.
On Wall Street, there are rich guys, and then there are very rich guys. And in the first camp, there are a surprising number who think an Elizabeth Warren presidency would not be the apocalypse.
“You know what I like about Warren? Warren doesn’t want my money, actually,” said one mid-level hedge fund executive who has already maxed out on his donation to the Massachusetts Democrat in the 2020 presidential primary. “My firm is great, but some people in the industry are scumbags.”
Warren is a longtime critic of the financial industry, and she has made her fair share of enemies among some of its major players. There has been a litany of stories in recent months — including one I wrote — quoting finance executives and bankers on how disastrous they believe a Warren presidency would be: Deciding between Donald Trump and Warren is a “decision between sickness and death.” Major Wall Street Democratic donors will sit the election out. Warren is the one candidate who is “toxic for the business community.”
But not everyone on Wall Street hates her. In fact, there are plenty of people who believe the idea of Warren in the White House sounds pretty good. And it’s not a grudging acceptance of her worldview but instead genuine support for it.
Warren had been under pressure for some time to explain how she would fund the switch to single payer health care; at the October presidential debate, her rival Mayor Pete Buttigieg attacked her by saying, “Your signature is to have a plan for everything, except this.”
That is no longer the case, and Saturday Night Live offered its take on the plan in a cold open that had Warren wondering why other candidates haven’t faced similar questions over the costs of their health care proposals.